Soup and Sandwich gallops at Churchill Downs. Coady Photography.

Kentucky Derby TVG Staff Picks: Soup and Sandwich the Longshot Play for Weaver

By Dave Weaver

How do I bet the Kentucky Derby (G1)? Who is going to win this year’s Kentucky Derby? If you Googled either of these questions or even asked them to yourself, you’ve landed in the right spot. 

First let’s start with how to bet the Kentucky Derby legally from home. Go to or download the TVG mobile app and sign up for an account. As fate would have it, you can get a $200 risk-free win bet when you do that. So, it’s already your lucky day. 

Now let’s talk about four horses who can win. Remember this is the biggest race in the United States with 20 horses in the Kentucky Derby starting gate. The favorite, or horse with the most money bet on it, will be #14 Essential Quality. As DJ Khaled and T-Pain would say, “All I do is win, win, win”. He’s won all five of his races and gives trainer Brad Cox his first opportunity at winning a Kentucky Derby. The last time Essential Quality’s jockey Luis Saez was in the Kentucky Derby, he crossed the finish line first aboard Maximum Security, but was disqualified in a controversial decision. He would love nothing more than to get that bad taste out of his mouth. 

Just to his outside is #15 Rock Your World. He also has never lost, but only has three races. And only one of those races was on the dirt. His first two wins came racing on a grass surface. He is talented and could continue to get better and faster with every race, making him a dangerous threat on the lead. 

Drawing a difficult post position, but entering the Kentucky Derby off a masterful win in the Curlin Florida Derby (G1) is #1 Known Agenda. He has all the makings of a winning recipe (pedigree, jockey, trainer, sharp form) if he can avoid a shuffled-back traffic-filled trip from the rail.

And finally, if you are a longshot player who likes to swing for the fences let’s talk about #19 Soup and Sandwich who is 30-1 odds. He also was in the Florida Derby and finished second behind Known Agenda. But while Known Agenda was making his sixth lifetime start and third stakes start, this was Soup and Sandwich’s stakes debut and only third lifetime trip to the starting gate. He has a great opportunity to improve and has the speed to be well-positioned throughout the 1 ¼-miles Run for the Roses.

 So there you have it. You now know how to bet and who to bet in this year’s Kentucky Derby!

Keep tabs on enhanced betting features and TVG Insights by downloading the WatchTVG App available on Roku, Amazon Fire TV, and Apple TV connected devices. TVG account holders can sign in to the WatchTVG app for free using their existing TVG account login details. Non-TVG account holders can sign up for a 7-day free trial. Learn more by going to

TVG is also offering money back to 2nd and 3rd all races at Churchill Downs on Friday, for details.